Spain Slams the Door on Polymarket and Kalshi

If you thought decentralized betting platforms were going to coast under the regulatory radar forever, think again. On May 26, Spain’s DGOJ went code-red on Polymarket and Kalshi, ordering internet service providers to immediately block both platforms nationwide.
The regulator is hitting them with a temporary four-month ban while they launch a full investigation. The issue? Standard compliance 101. Neither platform holds a Spanish gambling license, and more importantly, they completely lack identity verification, age gates, and self-exclusion tools. Under Spanish law, if you take staked money on uncertain future outcomes, you must have those protections.
My take: Keep an eye on this trend. Spain isn’t acting alone here. Indonesia also blocked Polymarket this week, joining a massive 2026 domino effect that has already seen Portugal, Hungary, Argentina, Brazil, and India restrict these exact platforms. The wild west era of prediction markets is officially closing.
On the Flip Side: FIFA and Fanatics Team Up
While Spain is busy locking prediction markets down, sports data giants are moving full steam ahead by doing things the legal way.
On May 27, ADI PredictStreet—which made history last month as FIFA’s first-ever official prediction market partner—inked a massive deal with Fanatics Markets to launch a co-branded World Cup hub across 23 US states.
Remember, ADI PredictStreet is playing the long game. They hold a Betting Intermediary license under the Gibraltar Gambling Act, making them the only formally licensed prediction market platform in Europe right now. Because of strict US regulatory rules, they can’t face American players directly, so they are using Fanatics and Crypto.com’s regulated exchange to handle the US heavy lifting.
The Big Picture: We are seeing a massive divergence in this sector. You are either in the camp that secures sports rights and formal licenses, or you are in the camp facing regulatory blocks and lawsuits. There is no more middle ground.
Sportradar Sued for Securities Fraud
Things just went from bad to worse for Sportradar Group AG (NASDAQ: SRAD). On May 26, a major law firm slapped them with a shareholder class-action lawsuit in New York, accusing the company of securities fraud.
This whole mess started back on April 22 when a brutal short-seller report from Muddy Waters Research alleged that Sportradar has been quietly powering illegal, unregulated, and grey-market operators—and that these shady clients make up a staggering 20% to 40% of their total revenue. Considering Sportradar always told Wall Street they only work with licensed partners, investors are furious. The stock crashed 22% in a single day after that report dropped. Shareholders now have until July 17, 2026 to join the lawsuit. Sportradar hasn’t officially responded yet, but their legal team is going to be incredibly busy this summer.
The Big Money is Buying the Flutter Dip
Despite the regulatory noise across Europe, Wall Street heavyweights are looking at Flutter Entertainment right now and seeing a massive bargain. Flutter’s stock is currently sitting 60% below its 12-month high, and institutional investors are eating it up.
On May 26, the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) disclosed a brand-new, $899 million stake in the company. They join billionaire Kenneth Dart, who just aggressively bumped his voting rights to 27.65% on May 14. When you own dominant global brands like FanDuel and PokerStars, and you’re running a $5 billion share buyback program, smart money is going to back you to rebound.
Leaked! Austria Prepares to Kill its Casino Monopoly
This is easily the biggest surprise of the week. A leaked draft law from Austria’s Finance Ministry reveals that the government is planning to completely dismantle its online casino monopoly when the current exclusive license (held by Win2day) expires in 2027.
Instead, Austria is preparing to hand out an unlimited number of 5-year licenses. But don’t pop the champagne just yet—the strings attached to these licenses are incredibly tight, and the player protections are among the strictest we’ve ever seen in Europe:
| Regulatory Metric | Proposed Austrian Limit |
|---|---|
| Stake Limits | Max €2 per spin/game |
| Weekly Deposits (Under 26) | Strictly capped at €250 |
| Weekly Deposits (Over 26) | Strictly capped at €1,680 |
| Jackpot Games | Banned completely |
| Mandatory Rest Breaks | 15-minute lockout required after 90 minutes of play |
To get a license, operators will also have to settle all outstanding Austrian court cases and pay back taxes. The coalition government wants to vote on this before the July summer recess, so expect plenty of backroom political drama over the next few weeks.
What I’m Watching Next Week
All eyes are on Amsterdam on June 4 for the Gaming in Holland Conference. The Dutch Ministry of Justice is expected to give us a concrete timeline on when they will replace the Remote Gambling Act. If you want to know exactly how fast and how hard the Netherlands market is about to tighten its grip, that is where we will get our answers.
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